Sweden vs Poland Match Preview and Prediction

Time: Wednesday, June 23, 2021 19:00 hours (Group E)

This Group E clash between Sweden and Poland is being played on neutral ground with the Swedes already having qualified for the round of 16 and Poland finishing dead last in the Group. It can be therefore said that Sweden may take the match lightly. The Polish were the underdogs in the group stages with Sweden showing class in their previous match scoring the only winning goal from the penalty spot by Forsberg and Poland drawing level after a goal from the top scorer Lewandowski against Spain to end the match in a 1-1 draw.


The 26 previous matches involving the two nations has never ended goalless with Sweden winning 9 out of 11 matches played against Poland with 1 draw and losing only once to Poland. Their last victory against the Polish side was in a friendly match way back in August 1991 the match ended (2-0). The last encounter in a major tournament was in the 1974 World Cup and the Poles won. They have also recorded the best Group defensive record with two clean sheets so far drawing level with Spain and also winning against Slovakia in the group stages. Robin Olsen has kept a clean sheet and has so far made only 5 saves. Thisls  indicates how strong the backline is in protecting the keeper from outside the box shooters. Majority of the goals scored by Sweden come in during the second half and has the highest percentage than any other team (23/26).

Team formation: 4-4-2

Starting lineup:

Forwards: Marcus Berg (CF) & Alexander Isac (CF)

Midfielders: Emil Forsberg (LF), Albin Ekdal (CM) Kristoff Olsson (CM) & Sebastian Larsson (CM).

Defenders: Ludwig Augustinasson (LB) Marcus Danielson (CB) Victor Lindelof (CB) & Mikael Lustig (RB).

Goalkeeper: Robin Olsen (GK).


The Polish side has won their final group stage matches in both of their last major international tournaments the Euros and World Cup and if Sweden manage to beat them it will be the first time losing in a group stage final since 2012. Manager Paulo’s men are experiencing the longest winless streak since September to November 2018 and their last 5 matches have directly shown how their performance has been low during the Euro 2020. So far the Poland goalkeeper hasn’t not kept a clean sheet and has managed to make 5 saves, also conceding an own goal. Despite previous upsets the Poles are looking for a win with their keeper (Szcesny) saying ‘they are fighting for their lives’ in the clash against Sweden.

Team formation: 3-5-2

Possible Starting lineup.

Forwards: Robert Lewandowski (CF) & Karol Swinderski (CF).

Midfielders: Tymoteusz Puchacz (LB) Karol Linetty (CM) Piotr Zielinski (CM) Kacper Kozlowski (CM) Kamil Jozwiak (LF).

Defenders: Pawel Dawidowicz (CB) Kamil Glik (CB) & Bartosz Bereszynsik (CB).

Goalkeeper: Wojciech Szczesny (GK).

Player injured/doubtful: Jakub Moder, Jan Bednarek & Lukasz Fabianski.


Sweden 8, 4 draw, Poland 14 Wins.

Match Prediction

Poland double chance (X2) 1.47

Over 2.5 2.24

BTTS Yes 1.92